@BritainElects. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points Early 2021. Forgot your password? Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife Trump. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. 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The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. Opinion Polling Sees Households Downbeat On Economy In Coming Months In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. But we can't do it without you. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Polling changes expose a chink in the Conservatives' electoral armour Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Poll suggests Conservatives could be in danger of losing more than a The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. Business & professional services. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. A Y Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. UK's Labour has 33-pt lead over ruling Conservatives -YouGov poll Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws Published Polls - Savanta - ComRes Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? As always you can unsubscribe at any time. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Dates. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. The latest Panelbase survey. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Easy-to-digest video clips. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . 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NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in About; Social . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023.